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Spinner Lab

Idea 7of 22Builds onImpossible is 0, certain is 1

Unlikely, even chance, likely

What do the places between 0 and 1 mean?

Today you'll discover

  • what 1/2 means
  • which side is unlikely
  • which side is likely

Think firstA spinner that is half orange

A spinner is half orange. Where does landing on orange go on the line?

Decide first, then press Next. Find 1/2, then look left or right of it.

A line from 0 to 1 with impossible and certain under the ends. Then 1/2 is marked in the middle with the words unlikely, even chance and likely under the line. Pointers place three spinners' chances of orange at 1/4, 1/2 and 5/6, and an arrow under them reads further right: more likely. The last step shows a spinner that is 7/8 blue.

See the whole ideathe big idea and the key word, in one place

The big idea

Below 1/2 is unlikely, 1/2 is an even chance, and above 1/2 is likely.

Along the line

Five words, from 0 to 1.

  1. impossible0
  2. unlikelybelow 1/2
  3. even chance1/2
  4. likelyabove 1/2
  5. certain1

Easy to get wrongNot certain does not mean unlikely. 7/8 is not 1, but it is very likely.

Key words

unlikely
probably will not happen; a probability less than 1/2
even chance
as likely to happen as not; a probability of 1/2
likely
probably will happen; a probability more than 1/2

Ready to use it?

  • Describe a probability as unlikely, an even chance or likely.
  • Order events from least to most likely.
Practise this idea